A military expert says it is ‘entirely possible for Ukraine to win the war this year’ if its military science continues to outperform Russia’s.
Since Putin’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February last year, President Volodymyr Zelensky has successfully lobbied Western allies for modern armored vehicles to repel the invaders.
Over the course of the conflict, Ukraine gradually outpaced its invaders with technology, leading to devastating fighting.
On New Year’s Eve, a volley of US-made HIMARS rocket launchers targeted a building full of Russian troops in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region.
Since Putin’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24 last year, President Volodymyr Zelensky has successfully lobbied Western allies for technology to beat the invaders.
According to the Kremlin, the strike on the poorly fortified vocational technical school in Makievka killed 89 Russian recruits and destroyed their ammunition, The Guardian reports.
The Kremlin confirmed the loss of life and attributed the use of mobile phones by its troops to give the location. Ukraine considers the possible death toll to be higher – possibly in the hundreds.
The incident has provoked widespread anger in Russia, where support for the war is waning, while it may signal to Putin the need for better military organization and development.
Last week, Ukraine was handed another lifeline when France, Germany and the US all agreed to send versions of their tanks, the AMX-10, Marder and Bradley.
Although not classified as ‘true tanks’ due to their lack of armor or firepower, the weapons are capable of providing firing support to the Ukrainians across enemy lines.
Of those machines, the US Bradley – which served with distinction in the 1991 Gulf War – is widely considered the most advanced, with a chain gun-fired 25 mm cannon and a pod on the side – the most advanced of Russian battle tanks. effective in eliminating
The US has promised to send about 50 Bradley tanks to Ukraine. The vehicles were highly effective during the Gulf War in 1991
German Murder described as ‘respectable but out of date’, with around 40 thought to have been promised to Ukraine
The AMX-10 tank supplied by France is capable of very high speed and has been described as ideal for a ‘reconnaissance echelon or rapid reaction force’.
Germany still backs down on Ukrainian demands to supply the deadly Leopard-II
Leopard-II is a 63-tonne battle tank that some believe could change the course of the war
Germany has still balked at Ukrainian demands for the supply of the deadly Leopard-II, a 63-tonne battle tank that some feel could turn the course of the war.
Ben Barry, senior fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said the Leopard could be achieved in a package with its own recovery vehicles with fewer loafers and rail capability, The Telegraph reports,
Mr. Watling said, “In terms of military science, it is entirely possible for Ukraine to win the war this year.” ‘There are other plausible scenarios – what if the Russian military industry gets its act together and increases production of ammunition? What if the Russians sort out their training?’
Mr Barry, who himself served in Bosnia and owned several vehicles, described the German Marder as ‘respectable but out-of-date’ and said the AMX-10’s armor is too thin for a real tank but it has great speed.
He said: ‘If someone said to me, ‘Ben, I want you to form an armored brigade, would you like these things?’ I would say, “absolutely”. They are what you want for a reconnaissance echelon or a rapid reaction force.’
Ukrainian army chief Valery Zaluzny says he needs 300 tanks, 600 to 700 infantry fighting vehicles and 500 howitzers to push the Russians back to their lines before an invasion.
France has not confirmed the number of AMX-10s, while the German newspaper Der Spiegel reports about 40 Marders – the equivalent of a battalion – are expected to be sent.
Ukrainian troops of the Territorial Defense of Kherson strengthen their positions
Plumes of smoke rise from a Russian attack during a 36-hour ceasefire on Orthodox Christmas announced by Russian President Vladimir Putin
US officials are reported to have said they will supply 50 Bradleys to Ukraine in the next support package.
Poland’s Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said yesterday that he was in talks with coalition countries to discuss the possibility of sending Leopard-II tanks to Ukraine.
Thanks to a ‘combined arms’ approach – the use of airpower, missiles and intelligence with small, flexible armed units – Ukraine was able to fend off the first wave of invasion.
They were able to access Elon Musk’s satellite system, providing the general with an unfathomable tool for strategy – with immediate connections from headquarters to the trenches.
Writing for the Guardian, Michael Clarke, a professor of defense studies at King’s College London, said: ‘Kyiv still has some way to go before it has enough equipment and troops to conduct that kind of offensive which would drive the Russian army out of most, or all, of its territory.
‘It needs much more than what it already has – and then more openly offensive weapons systems, including heavily armored forces, more attack aircraft and more drones and missiles.’
The inability of the Russian army, vast in numbers and to move centrally, was exposed early in the war.
Professor Clarke said: ‘Reengineering the Russian military would result in less corruption, a feature that affects the quality and supply of military equipment … Its logistics need to be modernized quickly.’ The supply of food and ammunition is particularly acute.’
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